Saros 15

Panorama of Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15

Fred Espenak

Introduction

A lunar eclipse occurs whenever the Moon passes through Earth's shadow. At least two lunar eclipses and as many as five occur every year.

The periodicity and recurrence of lunar eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and the same time of year due to a harmonic in three cycles of the Moon's orbit. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 15 centuries and contains about 70 to 80 eclipses. Every saros series begins with a number of penumbral lunar eclipses. The series will then produce several dozen partial eclipses, followed by several dozen total eclipses. The later portion of the series produces another set of partial eclipses before ending with a final group of penumbral eclipses. The exact numbers vary from one series to the next, but the overall sequence remains the same. For more information, see Periodicity of Lunar Eclipses.

Panorama of Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15

A panorama of all lunar eclipses belonging to Saros 15 is presented here. Each figure shows the Moon's path with respect to Earth's penumbral and umbral shadows. Below the path is a map depicting the geographic region of visibility for the eclipse. The date and time are given for the instant of Greatest Eclipse. Every figure serves as a hyperlink to the EclipseWise Prime page for that eclipse with a larger figure and complete details for the eclipse. Visit the Key to Lunar Eclipse Figures for a detailed explanation of these diagrams. Near the bottom of this page are a series of hyperlinks for more on lunar eclipses.

The exeligmos is a period of three Saros cycles and is equal to approximately 54 years 33 days. Because it is nearly an integral number of days in length, two eclipses separated by 1 exeligmos (= 3 Saroses) not only share all the characterists of a Saros, but also take place in approximately the same geographic location.

The Saros panorama below is arranged in horizontal rows of 3 eclipses. So one eclipse to the left or right is a difference of 1 Saros cycle, and one eclipse above or below is a difference of 1 exeligmos. By scanning a column of the table, it reveals how the geographic visibility of eclipses separated by an exeligmos slowly changes.

  • Click on any figure to go directly to the EclipseWise Prime Page for more information, tables, diagrams and maps. Key to Lunar Eclipse Figures explains the features in these diagrams.

For more information on this series see Statistics for Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15 .

Panorama of Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15
Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2219 Apr 30

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2201 May 12

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2183 May 22

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2165 Jun 02

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2147 Jun 12

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2129 Jun 24

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-2111 Jul 04

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2093 Jul 15

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2075 Jul 26

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2057 Aug 06

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2039 Aug 16

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2021 Aug 28

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-2003 Sep 07

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1985 Sep 18

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1967 Sep 29

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1949 Oct 10

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1931 Oct 20

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1913 Nov 01

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1895 Nov 11

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1877 Nov 23

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1859 Dec 03

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1841 Dec 14

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1823 Dec 25

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1804 Jan 05

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1786 Jan 15

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1768 Jan 27

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1750 Feb 06

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1732 Feb 17

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1714 Feb 28

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1696 Mar 10

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1678 Mar 21

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1660 Apr 01

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1642 Apr 12

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1624 Apr 22

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1606 May 04

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1588 May 14

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1570 May 25

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1552 Jun 05

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1534 Jun 16

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1516 Jun 26

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1498 Jul 07

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1480 Jul 18

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1462 Jul 29

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1444 Aug 08

Total Lunar Eclipse
-1426 Aug 20

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1408 Aug 30

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1390 Sep 10

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1372 Sep 21

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1354 Oct 02

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1336 Oct 12

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1318 Oct 24

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1300 Nov 03

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1282 Nov 15

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1264 Nov 25

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1246 Dec 06

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1228 Dec 17

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1210 Dec 28

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1191 Jan 07

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1173 Jan 19

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1155 Jan 29

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1137 Feb 09

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1119 Feb 20

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1101 Mar 03

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1083 Mar 13

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1065 Mar 25

Partial Lunar Eclipse
-1047 Apr 04

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-1029 Apr 15

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-1011 Apr 25

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-0993 May 07

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-0975 May 17

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-0957 May 28

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-0939 Jun 07

Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
-0921 Jun 19

Statistics for Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15

Lunar eclipses of Saros 15 all occur at the Moon’s descending node and the Moon moves northward with each eclipse. The series will begin with a penumbral eclipse near the southern edge of the penumbra on -2219 Apr 30. The series will end with a penumbral eclipse near the northern edge of the penumbra on -0921 Jun 19. The total duration of Saros series 15 is 1298.17 years.

Summary of Saros 15
First Eclipse -2219 Apr 30
Last Eclipse -0921 Jun 19
Series Duration 1298.17 Years
No. of Eclipses 73
Sequence 7N 23P 15T 21P 7N

Saros 15 is composed of 73 lunar eclipses as follows:

Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 73100.0%
PenumbralN 14 19.2%
PartialP 44 60.3%
TotalT 15 20.5%

The 73 lunar eclipses of Saros 15 occur in the order of 7N 23P 15T 21P 7N which corresponds to the following.

Sequence Order of Lunar Eclipses in Saros 15
Eclipse Type Symbol Number
Penumbral N 7
Partial P 23
Total T 15
Partial P 21
Penumbral N 7

The 73 eclipses in Saros 15 occur in the following order : 7N 23P 15T 21P 7N

The longest and shortest eclipses of Saros 15 as well as largest and smallest partial eclipses appear below.

Extreme Durations and Magnitudes of Lunar Eclipses of Saros 15
Extrema Type Date Duration Magnitude
Longest Total Lunar Eclipse -1552 Jun 0501h40m10s -
Shortest Total Lunar Eclipse -1678 Mar 2100h16m26s -
Longest Partial Lunar Eclipse -1408 Aug 3003h10m41s -
Shortest Partial Lunar Eclipse -2093 Jul 1500h34m38s -
Longest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse -1029 Apr 1504h29m38s -
Shortest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse -0921 Jun 1901h00m37s -
Largest Partial Lunar Eclipse -1408 Aug 30 - 0.96687
Smallest Partial Lunar Eclipse -2093 Jul 15 - 0.02442

Eclipse Publications

by Fred Espenak

jpeg jpeg
jpeg jpeg
jpeg jpeg

Calendar

The Gregorian calendar (also called the Western calendar) is internationally the most widely used civil calendar. It is named for Pope Gregory XIII, who introduced it in 1582. On this website, the Gregorian calendar is used for all calendar dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates.

The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..

Eclipse Predictions

The eclipse predictions presented here were generated using the JPL DE406 solar and lunar ephemerides. The lunar coordinates have been calculated with respect to the Moon's Center of Mass.

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -2999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.

Acknowledgments

Some of the content on this web site is based on the books Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Thousand Year Canon of Lunar Eclipses 1501 to 2500. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy.

Permission is granted to reproduce eclipse data when accompanied by a link to this page and an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak, www.EclipseWise.com"

The use of diagrams and maps is permitted provided that they are NOT altered (except for re-sizing) and the embedded credit line is NOT removed or covered.