EclipseWise - Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

Introduction

A solar eclipse occurs whenever the Moon's shadow passes across Earth's surface. At least two solar eclipses and as many as five occur every year.

The periodicity and recurrence of solar eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and the same time of year due to a harmonic in three cycles of the Moon's orbit. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 13 centuries and contains 70 or more eclipses. Every saros series begins with a number of partial eclipses near one of Earth's polar regions. The series will then produce several dozen central eclipses before ending with a group of partial eclipses near the opposite pole. For more information, see Periodicity of Solar Eclipses.

Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

The table below lists the concise characteristics of every solar eclipse belonging to Saros 15 . The date and time of each eclipse is given for the instant of Greatest Eclipse. For eclipses between the years -1999 to 3000, the calendar date links to a web page containing additional details and a map showing the geographic region of eclipse visibility for that eclipse. A description of each parameter in the catalog table can be found in Key to Saros Catalog of Solar Eclipses.

Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Seq Num	Rel Num	Calendar Date	TD of Greatest Eclipse	ΔT s	ΔT Sigma s	Luna Num	Ecl Type	QLE	Gamma	Ecl Mag	Lat °	Long °	Sun Alt °	Path Width km	Central Dur
1	-40	-2557-Jul-01	06:53:28	60901	6394	-56357	Pb	t-	1.5246	0.0090	64N	176E	0	-	-
2	-39	-2539-Jul-11	14:35:03	60400	6298	-56134	P	t-	1.4663	0.1221	65N	48E	0	-	-
3	-38	-2521-Jul-22	22:23:19	59901	6202	-55911	P	t-	1.4134	0.2246	66N	81W	0	-	-
4	-37	-2503-Aug-02	06:20:13	59405	6107	-55688	P	t-	1.3678	0.3128	67N	147E	0	-	-
5	-36	-2485-Aug-13	14:25:08	58910	6012	-55465	P	t-	1.3289	0.3877	68N	12E	0	-	-
6	-35	-2467-Aug-23	22:38:29	58417	5919	-55242	P	t-	1.2970	0.4487	69N	125W	0	-	-
7	-34	-2449-Sep-04	06:59:54	57926	5826	-55019	P	t-	1.2720	0.4964	70N	95E	0	-	-
8	-33	-2431-Sep-14	15:29:56	57438	5733	-54796	P	t-	1.2541	0.5302	71N	48W	0	-	-
9	-32	-2413-Sep-26	00:06:48	56951	5642	-54573	P	t-	1.2424	0.5523	71N	167E	0	-	-
10	-31	-2395-Oct-06	08:49:17	56467	5551	-54350	P	t-	1.2356	0.5649	71N	21E	0	-	-
11	-30	-2377-Oct-17	17:37:03	55984	5460	-54127	P	t-	1.2334	0.5690	72N	127W	0	-	-
12	-29	-2359-Oct-28	02:28:47	55504	5371	-53904	P	t-	1.2345	0.5667	71N	83E	0	-	-
13	-28	-2341-Nov-08	11:21:53	55026	5282	-53681	P	t-	1.2372	0.5617	71N	66W	0	-	-
14	-27	-2323-Nov-18	20:15:07	54550	5194	-53458	P	t-	1.2404	0.5557	70N	146E	0	-	-
15	-26	-2305-Nov-30	05:06:41	54075	5106	-53235	P	t-	1.2426	0.5517	69N	2W	0	-	-
16	-25	-2287-Dec-10	13:55:55	53603	5019	-53012	P	t-	1.2432	0.5505	68N	148W	0	-	-
17	-24	-2269-Dec-21	22:38:45	53133	4933	-52789	P	t-	1.2391	0.5583	67N	68E	0	-	-
18	-23	-2250-Jan-01	07:16:45	52666	4847	-52566	P	t-	1.2316	0.5726	66N	74W	0	-	-
19	-22	-2232-Jan-12	15:45:58	52200	4763	-52343	P	t-	1.2174	0.5994	65N	146E	0	-	-
20	-21	-2214-Jan-23	00:08:08	51736	4678	-52120	P	t-	1.1981	0.6358	64N	9E	0	-	-
21	-20	-2196-Feb-03	08:19:37	51274	4595	-51897	P	t-	1.1707	0.6876	63N	126W	0	-	-
22	-19	-2178-Feb-13	16:23:34	50815	4512	-51674	P	t-	1.1377	0.7500	62N	102E	0	-	-
23	-18	-2160-Feb-25	00:16:54	50357	4430	-51451	P	t-	1.0966	0.8278	62N	27W	0	-	-
24	-17	-2142-Mar-07	08:01:37	49902	4349	-51228	P	t-	1.0489	0.9178	61N	154W	0	-	-
25	-16	-2124-Mar-17	15:37:01	49448	4268	-51005	Tn	t-	0.9943	1.0312	59N	90E	5	-	01m56s
26	-15	-2106-Mar-28	23:05:33	48997	4188	-50782	T	p-	0.9346	1.0356	52N	7W	20	332	02m23s
27	-14	-2088-Apr-08	06:26:46	48547	4108	-50559	T	p-	0.8693	1.0370	49N	114W	29	246	02m33s
28	-13	-2070-Apr-19	13:41:52	48100	4030	-50336	T	p-	0.7996	1.0372	48N	140E	37	204	02m37s
29	-12	-2052-Apr-29	20:52:27	47655	3952	-50113	T	p-	0.7269	1.0363	47N	34E	43	175	02m37s
30	-11	-2034-May-11	03:59:34	47212	3874	-49890	T	p-	0.6520	1.0345	47N	70W	49	152	02m32s
31	-10	-2016-May-21	11:04:18	46771	3798	-49667	T	p-	0.5759	1.0319	47N	174W	55	131	02m25s
32	-9	-1998-Jun-01	18:08:06	46332	3722	-49444	T	p-	0.4997	1.0284	46N	83E	60	111	02m15s
33	-8	-1980-Jun-12	01:12:48	45895	3646	-49221	T	p-	0.4251	1.0242	45N	20W	65	91	02m00s
34	-7	-1962-Jun-23	08:19:45	45460	3572	-48998	T	n-	0.3536	1.0193	43N	124W	69	71	01m40s
35	-6	-1944-Jul-03	15:28:52	45028	3498	-48775	H	n-	0.2849	1.0139	40N	130E	73	50	01m16s
36	-5	-1926-Jul-14	22:43:33	44597	3425	-48552	H	nn	0.2219	1.0079	37N	23E	77	28	00m46s
37	-4	-1908-Jul-25	06:02:41	44168	3352	-48329	H	nn	0.1637	1.0017	33N	87W	80	6	00m10s
38	-3	-1890-Aug-05	13:29:25	43742	3281	-48106	Am	nn	0.1127	0.9952	28N	161E	83	17	00m30s
39	-2	-1872-Aug-15	21:01:16	43317	3209	-47883	A	nn	0.0671	0.9887	23N	47E	86	40	01m14s
40	-1	-1854-Aug-27	04:42:25	42895	3139	-47660	A	nn	0.0304	0.9822	18N	71W	88	63	01m59s

Catalog of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Seq Num	Rel Num	Calendar Date	TD of Greatest Eclipse	ΔT s	ΔT Sigma s	Luna Num	Ecl Type	QLE	Gamma	Ecl Mag	Lat °	Long °	Sun Alt °	Path Width km	Central Dur
41	0	-1836-Sep-06	12:29:45	42475	3069	-47437	A	nn	-0.0002	0.9759	13N	170E	90	86	02m45s
42	1	-1818-Sep-17	20:25:36	42056	3000	-47214	A	nn	-0.0230	0.9700	7N	49E	89	108	03m28s
43	2	-1800-Sep-28	04:27:21	41640	2932	-46991	A	nn	-0.0400	0.9644	2N	74W	88	129	04m09s
44	3	-1782-Oct-09	12:36:22	41226	2864	-46768	A	nn	-0.0504	0.9594	3S	161E	87	148	04m46s
45	4	-1764-Oct-19	20:49:15	40814	2797	-46545	A	nn	-0.0565	0.9548	8S	35E	87	165	05m20s
46	5	-1746-Oct-31	05:05:31	40404	2731	-46322	A	nn	-0.0592	0.9510	12S	91W	87	180	05m50s
47	6	-1728-Nov-10	13:23:18	39996	2666	-46099	A	nn	-0.0599	0.9478	17S	143E	86	192	06m17s
48	7	-1710-Nov-21	21:41:40	39590	2601	-45876	A	nn	-0.0597	0.9454	20S	17E	86	202	06m38s
49	8	-1692-Dec-02	05:57:05	39186	2537	-45653	A	nn	-0.0610	0.9435	23S	108W	86	209	06m54s
50	9	-1674-Dec-13	14:08:40	38785	2473	-45430	A	nn	-0.0648	0.9423	26S	129E	86	214	07m04s
51	10	-1656-Dec-23	22:14:16	38385	2410	-45207	A	nn	-0.0729	0.9417	28S	7E	86	216	07m06s
52	11	-1637-Jan-04	06:13:40	37987	2348	-44984	A	nn	-0.0856	0.9417	29S	113W	85	217	07m01s
53	12	-1619-Jan-14	14:02:47	37592	2287	-44761	A	nn	-0.1061	0.9420	30S	130E	84	216	06m51s
54	13	-1601-Jan-25	21:43:47	37199	2226	-44538	A	nn	-0.1328	0.9427	30S	15E	82	214	06m36s
55	14	-1583-Feb-05	05:13:17	36807	2166	-44315	A	nn	-0.1684	0.9436	29S	97W	80	211	06m20s
56	15	-1565-Feb-16	12:33:39	36418	2107	-44092	A	nn	-0.2109	0.9446	28S	154E	78	209	06m04s
57	16	-1547-Feb-26	19:41:45	36031	2049	-43869	A	-n	-0.2632	0.9456	27S	47E	75	207	05m49s
58	17	-1529-Mar-10	02:41:13	35645	1991	-43646	A	-p	-0.3221	0.9466	26S	58W	71	206	05m38s
59	18	-1511-Mar-20	09:30:03	35262	1934	-43423	A	-p	-0.3892	0.9473	26S	160W	67	208	05m31s
60	19	-1493-Mar-31	16:10:21	34881	1878	-43200	A	-p	-0.4628	0.9479	25S	99E	62	213	05m27s
61	20	-1475-Apr-10	22:42:43	34502	1822	-42977	A	-p	-0.5423	0.9479	26S	1E	57	223	05m30s
62	21	-1457-Apr-22	05:09:21	34125	1767	-42754	A	-p	-0.6258	0.9475	27S	96W	51	241	05m36s
63	22	-1439-May-02	11:31:22	33751	1713	-42531	A	-p	-0.7127	0.9465	30S	169E	44	272	05m46s
64	23	-1421-May-13	17:49:14	33378	1659	-42308	A	-p	-0.8023	0.9448	34S	74E	36	331	05m56s
65	24	-1403-May-24	00:06:18	33007	1607	-42085	A	-t	-0.8918	0.9421	41S	20W	27	463	06m02s
66	25	-1385-Jun-04	06:22:52	32639	1555	-41862	As	-t	-0.9809	0.9374	54S	110W	10	-	05m51s
67	26	-1367-Jun-14	12:41:54	32272	1503	-41639	P	-t	-1.0675	0.8469	64S	156E	0	-	-
68	27	-1349-Jun-25	19:03:31	31908	1453	-41416	P	-t	-1.1515	0.7029	65S	49E	0	-	-
69	28	-1331-Jul-06	01:31:44	31545	1403	-41193	P	-t	-1.2297	0.5692	66S	59W	0	-	-
70	29	-1313-Jul-17	08:06:03	31185	1354	-40970	P	-t	-1.3024	0.4454	67S	170W	0	-	-
71	30	-1295-Jul-27	14:48:21	30827	1305	-40747	P	-t	-1.3684	0.3336	68S	77E	0	-	-
72	31	-1277-Aug-07	21:39:35	30470	1258	-40524	P	-t	-1.4271	0.2345	69S	38W	0	-	-
73	32	-1259-Aug-18	04:40:50	30116	1211	-40301	P	-t	-1.4777	0.1496	70S	157W	0	-	-
74	33	-1241-Aug-29	11:52:24	29764	1165	-40078	P	-t	-1.5201	0.0789	70S	81E	0	-	-
75	34	-1223-Sep-08	19:13:40	29414	1119	-39855	Pe	-t	-1.5549	0.0213	71S	44W	0	-	-

Statistics for Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

Solar eclipses of Saros 15 all occur at the Moon’s ascending node and the Moon moves southward with each eclipse. The series began with a partial eclipse in the northern hemisphere on -2557 Jul 01. The series ended with a partial eclipse in the southern hemisphere on -1223 Sep 08. The total duration of Saros series 15 is 1334.23 years.

Summary of Saros 15

First Eclipse	-2557 Jul 01
Last Eclipse	-1223 Sep 08
Series Duration	1334.23 Years
No. of Eclipses	75
Sequence	24P 10T 3H 29A 9P

Saros 15 is composed of 75 solar eclipses as follows:

Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Eclipse Type	Symbol	Number	Percent
All Eclipses	-	75	100.0%
Partial	P	33	44.0%
Annular	A	29	38.7%
Total	T	10	13.3%
Hybrid	H	3	4.0%

Umbral eclipses (annular, total and hybrid) can be further classified as either: 1) Central (two limits), 2) Central (one limit) or 3) Non-Central (one limit). The statistical distribution of these classes in Saros series 15 appears in the following table.

Umbral Eclipses of Saros 15
Classification	Number	Percent
All Umbral Eclipses	42	100.0%
Central (two limits)	40	95.2%
Central (one limit)	2	4.8%
Non-Central (one limit)	0	0.0%

The 75 eclipses in Saros 15 occur in the following order : 24P 10T 3H 29A 9P

The longest and shortest central eclipses of Saros 15 as well as largest and smallest partial eclipses appear below.

Extreme Durations and Magnitudes of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Extrema Type	Date	Duration	Magnitude
Longest Annular Solar Eclipse	-1656 Dec 23	07m06s	-
Shortest Annular Solar Eclipse	-1890 Aug 05	00m30s	-
Longest Total Solar Eclipse	-2070 Apr 19	02m37s	-
Shortest Total Solar Eclipse	-1962 Jun 23	01m40s	-
Longest Hybrid Solar Eclipse	-1944 Jul 03	01m16s	-
Shortest Hybrid Solar Eclipse	-1908 Jul 25	00m10s	-
Largest Partial Solar Eclipse	-2142 Mar 07	-	0.91781
Smallest Partial Solar Eclipse	-2557 Jul 01	-	0.00900

Panorama of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

Catalog of Saros Series of Solar Eclipses

Links to Additional Solar Eclipse Predictions

Home - home page of EclipseWise with predictions for both solar and lunar eclipses

Solar Eclipses - primary page for solar eclipse predictions
Solar Eclipse Links - detailed directory of links
Solar Eclipse Basics - a primer on solar eclipses

Catalog of Solar Eclipse Saros Series - covers Saros series -30 through 190
Six Millennium Catalog of Solar Eclipses - from -2999 to +3000 (3000 BCE to 3000 CE)
World Atlas of Solar Eclipse Maps - index page for world eclipse maps covering 5 millennia
Javascript Solar Eclipse Explorer - calculate all solar eclipses visible from a city

Thousand Year Canon of Solar Eclipses 1501 to 2500 - link to the publication

MrEclipse.com - eclipse resources and tips on photography
Solar Eclipses for Beginners - a primer on solar eclipse basics
How to Photograph a Solar Eclipse - instructions for imaging an eclipse of the Sun
MrEclipse Photo Index - an index of solar eclipse photographs

Eclipse Publications

by Fred Espenak

Calendar

The Gregorian calendar (also called the Western calendar) is internationally the most widely used civil calendar. It is named for Pope Gregory XIII, who introduced it in 1582. On this website, the Gregorian calendar is used for all calendar dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates.

The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..

Eclipse Predictions

The eclipse predictions presented here were generated using the JPL DE406 solar and lunar ephemerides. The lunar coordinates have been calculated with respect to the Moon's Center of Mass.

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -2999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.

Acknowledgments

Some of the content on this web site is based on the books Five Millennium Canon of Solar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Thousand Year Canon of Solar Eclipses 1501 to 2500. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy.

Permission is granted to reproduce eclipse data when accompanied by a link to this page and an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak, www.EclipseWise.com"

The use of diagrams and maps is permitted provided that they are NOT altered (except for re-sizing) and the embedded credit line is NOT removed or covered.